China's total macadamia production is projected to exceed 90,000 metric tons in 2025, surpassing Australia—the nut's country of origin—and establishing China as the world's second-largest macadamia producer.

Yunnan and Guangxi are China's primary macadamia-growing regions. This year, Yunnan's macadamia output is projected to reach 70,000 metric tons, marking an approximately 8% increase from 2024. Taking Lincang as an example, after years of development, its cultivation area has expanded to 262,770 hectares, accounting for nearly 40% of the global total. With an annual dry shelled nut output of 109,000 metric tons (including carryover stock from previous years and cross-year sales reserves), it has become the world's largest single-region macadamia production base. Yingjiang County boasts a total macadamia cultivation area of 350,100 mu, ranking first in Dehong Prefecture and third in Yunnan Province. With 163,000 mu of productive land, this year's fresh nut output is projected to reach 40,000 tons. Based on a 30% kernel conversion rate, this yields 12,000 tons of dried kernels. Beyond these primary production zones, cashew output is steadily increasing in Yunnan's Pu'er, Xishuangbanna, and Honghe regions.

As a rising star in China's macadamia industry, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region has witnessed rapid expansion in both planting scale and output in recent years. By 2024, Guangxi's total macadamia cultivation area exceeded 800,000 mu, with shelled nut production projected to surpass 20,000 tons in 2025. Chongzuo City leads in planting scale within Guangxi, reaching 629,100 mu in 2024, with continued expansion in 2025. The area bearing fruit has grown accordingly, accounting for over 45% of the region's total bearing area. Among these, Longzhou County leads all counties in the region with a 2025 planting area of 165,500 mu and a bearing area of 131,400 mu, where the “Gui Re No. 1” variety constitutes 91% of the total. Fusui County's total planting area will reach 154,800 mu, while Pingxiang City will establish eight large-scale demonstration bases covering 21,000 mu. Compared to Yunnan, Guangxi's macadamia cultivation began later but has achieved an annual growth rate of 15% in productive area—exceeding Yunnan's 10% rate—indicating substantial future production potential.

As production surges in Yunnan and Guangxi, national macadamia prices show a stable-to-declining trend, making them more accessible. With domestic supply flooding the market, online retail prices are projected to drop by approximately 10% year-on-year by 2025.

In terms of specific market performance, major retailers like JD Supermarket have deepened direct sourcing from core production areas such as Lincang and Yingjiang in Yunnan, while also collaborating with growers in Chongzuo and Baise, Guangxi, to reduce intermediate distribution channels. Taking JD Supermarket as an example, it has lowered the retail price of premium Yunnan and Guangxi macadamia nuts from around 20 yuan per jin last year to under 19 yuan, representing a 5%-10% decrease. At the wholesale level, Kunming Agricultural Products Central Wholesale Market in Yunnan maintained a stable wholesale price of 12-14 yuan per jin for in-shell nuts in 2025. while the wholesale price at the Haijixing Agricultural Products Wholesale Market in Nanning, Guangxi, is 13-15 yuan per jin. The price difference between the two regions primarily stems from the fact that most orchards in Guangxi are 5-8-year-old mature trees producing larger nuts (average nut weight of 2.8 grams, higher than Yunnan's 2.5 grams) with superior quality, commanding a premium of about 5%-8%.

In offline markets, Yunnan and Guangxi have established “Southwest Nuts Specialty Counters” in major consumption regions like South China, East China, and North China through a “Direct-from-Origin Alliance.” This initiative reduces wholesale costs by 15%, lowering retail prices in second- and third-tier cities to 18-22 yuan per jin—a roughly 30% decrease compared to 2020.