According to the World Macadamia  Organization (WMO), on a kernel basis, global macadamia  demand will increase from 64 tons in 2022 to 137 tons in 2027, a 2.1-fold increase. Calculated on the basis of nuts, China's demand for macadamia in 2022 was 17,500 tons, and the actual consumption in 2023 increased significantly to 29,500 tons, an increase of nearly 70%, far exceeding the 20,300 tons of consumption predicted by WMO for the Chinese market before.

In fact, China has surpassed North America to become the world's largest macadamia consumer market in 2022, and the Chinese market is expected to maintain rapid growth in the next five years. China's demand for macadamia is expected to increase to 46,500 tons in 2027, about 2.7 times that of 2022. The main growth will be in the three segments of shell snacks, kernel snacks and food processing raw materials, where demand will increase from 13,000 tons, 1,000 tons and 2,000 tons to 28,000 tons, 8,000 tons and 8,000 tons, respectively.


As a representative of the "expensive" nuts sought after by young people, in addition to some of the macadamia consumed in the Chinese market from Yunnan producing areas, the rest are mainly from Australia, South Africa, Kenya and other countries. According to the International Nut and Dried Fruit Association (INC), the total production of the world's main Macadamia  is expected to reach 338,000 tons in 2024.

Australian production is expected to be 56,000 tonnes, with Queensland production now accounting for more than 70% of Australia's production, with new acreage, particularly new orchards in the Bundaberg area, contributing to the steady growth. Above-average rainfall in most major growing areas was not conducive to harvest and affected early deliveries. Queensland experienced a drought early in 2023 and wetter conditions at the end of the year, resulting in a large difference in nut size between early and late maturing varieties. However, overall, the Australian macadamia  in 2024 is of good quality, with an increase in fruit yield (TKR) and nut size compared to 2023.


South Africa's early season crop production is expected to be 92,000 tonnes, a significant increase from 2023, despite the impact of El Nino and good weather in producing areas. The main reason for the increase in production is that large tracts of new orchards planted in the late 2010s began to bear substantial fruit. Reports show that harvests in some regions have been delayed, but quality has improved significantly.

Guatemala's production is estimated at 15,000 tonnes. The dry, hot weather brought on by El Nino has cut the number of flowers in half. Due to the low market price of macadamia , some  farmers neglect to maintain their trees. Farmers in some regions have also delayed harvesting, waiting for prices to rise.

Kenya's early season crop production was estimated at 46,000 tonnes, lower than forecast. The main reason is that the market price is low, and the input of  farmers in the orchard in 2023 is insufficient. Recent flooding across the region will also put pressure on crops, but a second harvest later this year will largely offset the reduction. Prices to growers have almost doubled, crops will be better cared for, and a good harvest is expected in 2025.

Brazil's production is expected to be 6,500 tons, a decrease from 2023. This is mainly due to the extremely dry weather experienced by the macadamia during the blooming period of the El Nino phenomenon and the repeated heat waves during the growing season. Low prices in the market continue to put pressure on the industry, resulting in reduced crop maintenance, especially in inputs such as fertilizers.