As the world's leading producer of macadamia, South Africa plans to double its production over the next decade. While the outlook is promising, there are some obstacles to overcome. Doubling production a feasible goal

South Africa is increasingly consolidating its position as the world's largest producer of macadamia, according to news site Caxton. Green Farms Nut Company (Green Farms Nut Company) director Alex Whyte (Alex Whyte) said that while there are real obstacles, such as increased price pressures due to U.S. tariffs and market volatility, the industry still plans to double South Africa's macadamia production over the next decade. According to Whyte, this goal remains feasible despite setbacks. The industry expert noted that low prices in 2022-2024 still had an impact on current production. At that time, some farmers had to clear their orchards or reduce the use of key inputs, which affected yields. The International Nut and Dried Fruit Council's (INC) production estimate for South Africa in 2025 is 95,500 tons, while growers' own expectations range from 90,000-94,000 tons. Even so, South Africa will remain the world's largest producer of macadamia nuts. China's production forecast for this year is 74,500 tons, while the Australian Macadamia Society (Australian Macadamia Society) just last week revised its forecast downwards - Australia's macadamia production this year is expected to be between 37,300 tons and 41,970 tons. 50%. Exports go to China

South Africa has about 1,300-1,500 macadamia growers, operating on an average of 50 hectares. The main growing areas are located in the northeastern part of the Limpopo Province (Limpopo), the eastern part of the Mpumalanga Province (Mpumalanga), the coastal areas of the KwaZulu-Natal Province (KwaZulu-Natal), and the Western Cape Province (Western Cape) in George (George). Currently, 95% of its production is exported, with China being the largest buyer, accounting for 50% of exports. China is the largest buyer, accounting for 50% of exports, followed by the US (25%) and Europe (15%). Despite the difficulties that US tariffs have caused both suppliers and buyers, market experts are optimistic that trade between the two countries will continue; the US relies on imports to meet its domestic needs due to its low domestic production. White also pointed out to Caxton that macadamia production is a relatively young industry in South Africa, and as such has great potential for growth.